The First Hedge Fund Article

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The term “hedge fund” was first printed in a Fortune article “The Jones Nobody Keeps Up With” by Carol Loomis in 1966. The article is about the top investment manager at the time, Alfred Jones. The term “hedge fund” was coined when Alfred Jones said his fund was “hedged”. Instead of a “mutual fund”, his fund was structured as a Limited Partnership as a “private fund”.  From this article, these private funds are today known as “hedge funds”. 

Read the first hedge fund article about the first hedge fund manager that coined the term: The Jones Nobody Keeps Up With.

Hedge fund performance first quarter 2012

 

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Commodity Trading Advisor performance

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Source: BarclayHedge.com

Contrarian Hedge Funds and Momentum Mutual Funds

ABSTRACT

We study how hedge fund performance is related to the presence of mutual funds operating in the same asset class. We argue that hedge funds are able to exploit the constraints of the mutual funds related to both the high correlation between flows and value of investment and their tendency to cater to investors by invest in stocks that are 'hot'. Hedge funds exploit these features of the mutual funds, especially the domestic ones. We show that the performance of the hedge funds is significantly higher when mutual fund market coverage is higher. This effect is mostly concentrated among domestic mutual funds and is stronger the higher investment horizon of the hedge funds. A high presence of the mutual fund industry helps to explain 28% of the yearly hedge fund performance. Hedge funds are more likely to be 'alpha' in the presence of a high degree of mutual fund market coverage and their probability of survival is higher. Hedge funds employ contrarian strategies at the very moment in which mutual funds ride market expectations. The degree by which hedge funds react to changes in public information is directly related to the degree of mutual fund market coverage.

Source: Massa, Massimo, Simonov, Andrei and Yan, Shan, Contrarian Hedge Funds and Momentum Mutual Funds (March 13, 2012). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2021499 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2021499

About Hedge Funds

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About hedge funds, from the Hedge Fund Association

Hedge funds refer to funds that can use one or more alternative investment strategies, including hedging against market downturns, investing in asset classes such as currencies or distressed securities, and utilizing return-enhancing tools such as leverage, derivatives, and arbitrage.

At a time when world stock markets appear to have reached excessive valuations and may be due for further correction, hedge funds provide a viable alternative to investors seeking capital appreciation as well as capital preservation in bear markets. The vast majority of hedge funds make consistency of return, rather than magnitude, their primary goal.

It is important to understand the differences between the various hedge fund strategies because all hedge funds are not the same -- investment returns, volatility, and risk vary enormously among the different hedge fund strategies. Some strategies which are not correlated to equity markets are able to deliver consistent returns with extremely low risk of loss, while others may be as or more volatile than mutual funds.

Key characteristics of hedge funds

Many, but not all, hedge fund strategies tend to hedge against downturns in the markets being traded. Hedge funds are flexible in their investment options (can use short selling, leverage, derivatives such as puts, calls, options, futures, etc.). Hedge funds benefit by heavily weighting hedge fund managers’ remuneration towards performance incentives, thus attracting the best brains in the investment business.

 

2011 Hedge Fund and Commodity Trading Advisor Performance

For many purposes, I'm not a fan of grouping things or people together to draw inference about the group. Such shortcuts often lead people astray. As I said in The Illusion of Asymmetric Insight, people like to form groups. They may pick a group/team/tribe and sometimes follow it blindly. Their illusion of asymmetric insight is that they believe they know more about the group than they do, or they know more than the group knows about them. So, investors group different investment programs into a category and speak of them broadly. If they like hedge funds, invest in hedge funds or manage a hedge fund, they'll probably speak of the group positively. If they don't like hedge funds, don't understand hedge funds, don't know much about hedge funds, or don't have enough money to qualify, they'll probably group them together with a negative perception. Since perception is a filtering process that selects information for conscious processing, your perception is a function of your own beliefs, wisdom, and experience. At the end of the day, I guess the best measure of your perception is your actual results. If you invest in or manage a hedge fund and have a good performance history over a meaningful period, then your perception has been useful to you. If you have earned a poor track record, then it doesn't really matter what you like or don't: you may consider that your perception may be may be off.

As an asset manager that specializes in quantitative research and trading systems, I necessarily want to quantify things. If we want to get an idea of the performance history of a group or groups, we necessarily need to put them in a basket and call them a category. In this case, we are doing it on purpose with the awareness that we are. 

In Stock Index Performance for 2011 and the Full Market Cycle we looked at the results for the broad stock indices in 2011. More importantly for 2011 we examined the path they took from January 1st to December 31st. Even more important than an arbitrary calendar year performance we looked at them over a complete market cycle of the past 5 or so years. Here, we view a snapshot of the Barclay Hedge Fund Indices. As you can see, Barclay Hedge Fund Indices include a broad index "Barclay Hedge Fund Index" that groups the performance of a broad range of hedge funds into one index. The definition from their website

The Barclay Hedge Fund Index is a measure of the average return of all hedge funds (excepting Funds of Funds) in the Barclay database. The index is simply the arithmetic average of the net returns of all the funds that have reported that month.

If we use the Barclay Hedge Fund Index to measure the overall performance of hedge funds in 2011, they were down -5.2%. What would be far more telling is the experience along the way, which is beyond the scope of this post about the overall 2011 results of different hedge fund groups. It is useful to glimpse at these hedge fund indices to get a general perception of the results of different forms of active management, active trading, etc. However, keep in mind one calendar year is a meaningless time frame unless you were trading your way to a new car, boat, home, etc. and December 31, 2011 was your deadline. Overall, we can probably say that hedge funds results were a little negative for 2011. 

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Source: BarclayHedge.com 

The far more meaningful use of performance history is to gain an understanding about the experience one would have over a longer period of time. Specifically, a study of both the upside and the downside as discussed in The Asymmetry™ Ratio: The Asymmetric Investment Return Profile of Risk vs. Reward. And, for those investors who don't have unlimited resources, a special emphasis may be placed on the historical draw-down. 

Definitions for Selected Indices:

Barclay Equity Long Bias Index: Equity Long/Short managers are typically considered long-biased when the average net long exposure of their portfolio is greater than 30%.

Barclay Equity Long/Short Index: This directional strategy involves equity-oriented investing on both the long and short sides of the market. The objective is not to be market neutral. Managers have the ability to shift from value to growth, from small to medium to large capitalization stocks, and from a net long position to a net short position. Managers may use futures and options to hedge. The focus may be regional or sector specific.

Barclay Global Macro Index: Global Macro managers carry long and short positions in any of the world's major capital or derivative markets. These positions reflect their views on overall market direction as influenced by major economic trends and or events. The portfolios of these funds can include stocks, bonds, currencies, and commodities in the form of cash or derivatives instruments. Most funds invest globally in both developed and emerging markets.

Barclay Multi Strategy Index: Multi-Strategy funds are characterized by their ability to dynamically allocate capital among strategies falling within several traditional hedge fund disciplines. The use of many strategies, and the ability to reallocate capital between them in response to market opportunities, means that such funds are not easily assigned to any traditional category.

High Net Worth Individuals and Hedge Funds

Stephen Taub writes that "High Net Worth Individuals Pulling Out Of Hedge Funds" in Institutional Investor Magazine, but that Hedge funds have surpassed the magic $2 trillion mark.

The inflows of capital into hedge funds are coming from institutions, not high net worth investors, according to the Capgemini and Merrill Lynch Global Wealth Management 2011 World Wealth Report referenced by the article.

He says:

And in March, Preqin reported a 50 percent rise in public pension plans investing in hedge funds.

But then:

Investors are apparently still spooked from the days of the financial meltdown, when many of their funds of funds investments performed poorly. And many hedge funds gated their assets, preventing them from redeeming.

High net worth individuals are looking for liquidity, confirms William Sullivan, Global Head of Market Intelligence, Capgemini Financial Services. “Their top priority is preserving capital."

1. They defined High Net Worth Individuals as those having investment assets of $1 million or more (excluding primary residence, collectibles, consumables, and consumer durables). In my opinion, that seems low. While $1 million in investment money is a good amount of money, I'm not so sure that would be the minimum for "High Net Worth". I know a lot of people with $1 million invested and most of them don't think of themselves as ""High Net Worth" at that level.

2. What they are doing with their money isn't something you would want to necessarily follow, as they are not necessarily any better informed. It depends on their money manager and advisers. We could examine their performance history to see how informed they are – if they have an advantage. 

3. I’m not sure hedge funds are necessarily a separate asset class. Instead, hedge funds are the structure many portfolio managers choose to offer certain strategies. Those strategies may be a separate asset class. People often consider markets different asset categories (asset classes), but different strategies (or systems) are too. Consider a counter-trend system that buys very oversold markets and sells very overbought markets vs. a Trend following system that buys rising markets and sells falling markets, for example. Those two strategies have very unique risk/return profiles. I operate several different systems across different markets and each of them are non-correlated, meaning their risk and return profile is very independent of the others. Now, today there are some managers claiming their method is "non-correlated" but when you look at their actual performance history it tracks closely to a market index. If it does, it's correlated. It's certainly not a "separate asset class" (category).

4. Finally, I want to define "alternatives". Wikipedia defines alternative investments as: An investment product other than the traditional investments of stocks, bonds, cash, or property. The term is a relatively loose one and includes tangible assets such as art, wine, antiques, coins, or stamps and some financial assets such as commodities, private equity, hedge funds, venture capital, and financial derivatives. Again, a hedge fund is merely the structure by which the portfolio manager offers an investment program. Some portfolio managers, like myself, may also offer an "alternative" strategy in a managed account structure instead. A managed account is an account titled in the clients own name that is managed by the portfolio manager as part of an investment program. The portfolio manager may manage hundreds or thousands of accounts in the same portfolio that way. With a hedge fund, it could be the same strategy or portfolio, but it's offered by Private Placement Memorandum (PPM) as ownership in a pooled fund, which may be a Limited Partnership (LP) or a Limited Liability Company (LLC). It's mainly a difference in structure. But, many investors prefer a managed account because it provides transparency, liquidity, and because it's their own account held at a third party institution like Trust Company of America or Schwab, they ultimately know where their money is. That, I think, is what attracts many High Net Worth investors with $1 million or more. But, that's not to say hedge funds aren't a good structure, too. There are many reasons why a hedge fund could even be the better structure for some people. But, the term "alternative" is really a reference not only to a product or market, but also a strategy. An alternative strategy is one that is an alternative to the conventional or traditional asset management strategies like index tracking active mutual funds or conventional asset allocation that sets an allocation and re-balances. My managed account program, the Asymmetry Investment Program™, is an example. To learn more, click HERE.